D.SHOGBON
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Writing, the archive.

Things worth writing down — code, ideas, observations, the occasional detour. With a particular lean toward automation and how machines interact with the web. Started January 2026. No tracking, no ads.

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Computing the probability of observing 3 consecutive Up Ticks on trade tape where P(U)=0.51 and P(U | Prior Up)=0.64

Model short-term order book momentum and microstructure autocorrelation.

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