/009 ESSAY 2 MIN
Computing the probability of observing 3 consecutive Up Ticks on trade tape where P(U)=0.51 and P(U | Prior Up)=0.64
Model short-term order book momentum and microstructure autocorrelation.
Things worth writing down — code, ideas, observations, the occasional detour. With a particular lean toward automation and how machines interact with the web. Started January 2026. No tracking, no ads.
/009 ESSAY 2 MIN
Model short-term order book momentum and microstructure autocorrelation.